Delhi Assembly Poll 2015 -- Perceptual Survey

This exercise illustrates the perception among the residents/frequent visitors to all the 70 constituencies of Delhi, which go to polls on 7 February 2015. The exercise doesn’t undertake to suggest clear winners or losers but certainly suggests what the buzz on the seat is. And if we collate the buzz across the 70 constituencies, the findings are quite contrary to what the surveys by the television channels are suggesting. There are clear indications that pitched battle is being fought between the BJP and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) for every seat, wherein the Congress too has made pumped in all its energy to make the battle three-way in about 25 seats. This makes the situation very complex and it could be anybody’s game in the next 48 hours.  On the evening of 4 February 2015, the situation stood as under:

 

Seats

Adv BJP

Adv AAP

Adv Cong

Close fight

Triangular fight

Multi-corner 

70

15

16

05

18

14

02

The detailed constituency wise perception 48 hours before polling:

AC

Name

BJP

Congress

AAP

Remark

1

Narela

Neel Dhaman Kharti

Praveen k Bhugra

Sharad Kumar

CLOSE

2

Burari

Gopal Jha

Jile S Chauhan

Sanjeev Jha

Advantage AAP

3

Timarpur

Rajni Abbi

SPS Bittu

Pankaj Pushkar

CLOSE

4

Adarsh Nagar

Ramkishan Singhal

Mukesh Goel

Pawan Sharma

Advantage BJP

5

Badli

Rajesh Yadav

Devendra Yadav

Aajesh Yadav

Advantage CONG

6

Rithala

Kulwant Rana

Jagdish Yadav

Mahendra Goel

Advantage BJP

7

Bawana

Gugan Singh Ranga

Surendra Kumar

Ved Prakash

Triangular

8

Mundaka

Azad Singh

Rita Shokeen

Rajendra Dabas

CLOSE

9

Kirari

Anil Jha

Pratyush Kant

Rituraj Jha

CLOSE

10

Sultanpur Majra

Prabhu Datal Sai

Jaikishan

Sanddep Kumar

Advantage Cong

11

Nangloi Jat

Manoj Shokeen

Vijendra Singh

Raghvendra Shokeen

Advantage BJP

12

Mangolpuri

Surjijeet Kumar

RK Chauhan

Rakhi Birla

CLOSE (CvsA)

13

Rohini

Vijyendra Gupta

Sukhbeer Sharma

CL Gupta

Advantage BJP

14

Shalimar Bagh

Rekha Gupta

Sulekh Aggarwal

Vandana Kumari Jha

Advantage AAP

15

Shakur Basti

SC Vats

Chaman Lal Sharma

Satyendra Jain

Advantage AAP

16

Trinagar

Nand Kishore Garg

Anil Bhardwaj

Jitendra Singh Tomar

CLOSE

17

Wazirpur

Mahendra Nagpal

Harishanker Gupta

Rajesh Gupta

Advantage BJP

18

Model Town

Vivek Garg

Kanwar Karan Singh

Akhilesh Pati Tripathi

Advantage AAP

19

Sadar Bazar

Praveen Jain

Ajay Maken

Somdutt

Advantage Cong

20

Chandani Chowk

Suman K Gupta

Prahlad Singh Sahni

Alka Lamba

Triangular

21

Matia Mahal

S Anjum Dahalvi

Shoeb Iqbal

Aasim

Advantage Cong

22

Ballimaran

Shamlal Morwal

Harun Yusuf

Imran

Advantage Cong

23

Karol Bagh

Yogendra Chandolia

Madan Khorwal

Vishesh Ravi

CLOSE

24

Patel Nagar

Krishna Tirath

Rajesh Lilothia

Hazari Lal Chauhan

CLOSE

25

Moti Nagar

Shubhash Sachdeva

RK Maggo

Charan Goel

Advantage BJP

26

Madipur

Rajkumar Fulwaria

Malaram Gangwar

Girish Soni

Advantage AAP

27

Rajouri Garden

Akali Dal

Minakshi Chandela

Jarnail Singh

CLOSE

28

Hari Nagar

Akali Dal

CP Mittal

Jagdeep Singh

Advantage AAP

29

Tilak Nagar

Rajiv Babbar

Duli Chand Lohia

Jarnail Singh

Advantage AAP

30

Janak Puri

Jagdish Mukhi

Suresh Kumar

Rajesh Rishi

CLOSE

31

Vikas Puri

Sanjay Singh

Nand Kishore

Mahendra Yadav

Advantage AAP

32

Uttam Nagar

Pawan Sharma

Mukesh Sharma

Naresh Balyan

CLOSE

33

Dwarka

Praduman Rajput

Mahabal Mishra

Adarsh Shastri

Triangular

34

Matiala

Rajesh Gehlot

Sumesh Shokeen

Gulab Singh

Triangular

35

Najafgarh

Ajit Singh K

Jaikishan Sharma

Kailash Gehlot

MULTI CORNER (INLD)

36

Bijwasan

Satyaprakash Rana

Vijay S Lochav

Col D Sehrawat

Advantage BJP

37

Palam

Dharmadev Solanki

Madan Mohan Dass

Bhawna Gaur

Advantage BJP

38

Delhi Cantt.

Karan Singh Tanwar

Sandeep Tanwar

Commando Surender

Advantage BJP

39

Rajender Nagar

RP Singh

Brahm Yadav

Vijay Garg

Triangular

40

New Delhi

Nupur Sharma

Kiran Walia

Arvind Kejriwal

Advantage AAP

41

Jangpura

MS Dheer

TS Marwah

Praveen Deshmukh

Advantage BJP

42

Kasturba Nagar

Ravindra Chaudhary

Neeraj Basoya

Madan Lal

Advantage AAP

43

Malviya Nagar

Nandini Sharma

Yoganand Shashtri

Somnath Bharti

Advantage AAP

44

RK Puram

Anil Sharma

Leeladhar Bhatt

Pramila Tokas

CLOSE

45

Mehrauli

Sarita Chaudhary

Satbeer Singh

Govardhan Singh

Advantage AAP

46

Chhatarpur

Brahm Singh Tanwar

Balram Tanwar

Kartar Singh

CLOSE

47

Deoli

Arvind Kumar

Rajesh chauhan

Prakash

CLOSE

48

Ambedkar Nagar

Ashok Chauhan

Prem Singh

Ajay Dutt

Advantage AAP

49

Sangam Vihar

SCL Gupta

Vishnu S Aggarwal

Dinesh Mohania

Advantage AAP

50

Greater Kailash

Gulia

Sharmishtha Mukherjee

Saurabh Bhardwaj

Advantage AAP

51

Kalkaji

Akali Dal

Subhash Chopra

Avtar Singh

Triangular

52

Tughlakabad

Vikram Bidhuri

Sachin Bidhuri

Sahi Ram

Advantage BJP

53

Badarpur

Ramveer Singh Bidhuri

Ram Singh Netaji

ND Sharma

Triangular

54

Okhla

Brahm S bidhuri

Asif MD Khan

Amanatullah

Triangular

55

Trilokpuri

Kiran Vaidhya

Brham Pal

Raju Dhingan

Triangular

56

Kondli

Hukum Singh

Amrish Gautam

Manoj Kumar

CLOSE (CvsA)

57

Patpar Ganj

Vinod Binny

Anil Chaudhary

Manish Shishodia

Triangular

58

Laxmi Nagar

BB Tyagi

AK Walia

Nitin Tyagi

Triangular

59

Viswas Nagar

OP Sharma

Naseeb Singh

Atul Gupta

Triangular

60

Krishna Nagar

Kiran Bedi

Bansi Lal

SK Bagga

Advantage BJP

61

Gandhi Nagar

Jitendra Chaudhary

Prakash Sharma

Anil Bajjpai

Advantage AAP

62

Shahdra

Akali Dal

Narendra Nath

Ram Nivas Goel

CLOSE

63

Seemapuri

Karamveer Chandel

Veer S Dhingan

Rajendra Gautam

CLOSE (CvsA)

64

Rohtash Nagar

Jitendra Mahajan

Vipin Sharma

Sarita Singh

Advantage BJP

65

Seelampur

Sanjay Jain

Mateen Ahmed

Hazi Ishraq

Advantage Cong

66

Ghonda

Saheb S Chauhan

Bheeshm Sharma

SD Sharma

Advantage BJP

67

Babarpur

Naresh Gaur

Zaqir Khan

Gopal Rai

Triangular

68

Gokalpur

Ranjeet Kashyap

Rinku

Fateh Singh

MULTI CORNER (BSP)

69

Mustafabad

Jagdish Pradhan

Hasan Ahmed

Hazi Yunus

Triangular

70

Karawal Nagar

Mohan Singh Bisht

Satyapal Dyma

Kapil Mishra

CLOSE